Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu
Qarabag FK5 - 1Lech Poznan
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Qarabag FK 1-1 Lech Poznan (Lech Poznan win 2-1 on aggregate)
As both sides carry a goal threat and are used to taking the initiative, there could be opportunities at either end, following a relatively cagey first leg. The Polish champions should progress, but it may require a backs-to-the-wall effort to secure their passage to the second qualifying round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Lech Poznan |
29.94% ( -0.01) | 23.87% | 46.18% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
