Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tobol in this match.

Result
Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Tobol
32.65% ( 0.12)	25.01% ( -0.04)	42.34% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 56.86% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55% (

0.2)

46.46% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27% (

0.19)

68.74% (

-0.19)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

0.17)

27.17% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.42% (

0.22)

62.58% (

-0.22)

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

0.05)

21.92% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

0.08)

55.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 32.65%

Tobol 42.34%

Draw 25.01%

Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Tobol
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.65%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.34%