UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK

Rheinpark Stadion

Vaduz
1 - 2
Neman

(Neman win 3-2 on aggregate)

Cavegn (22')
Isik (10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zubovich (29'), Sukurov (82')
Evdokimov (41'), Sadovnichiy (47'), Pantya (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vaduz and Neman.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaduz

All competitions

Last Game: Apollon Limassol 1-0 Vaduz
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Basel	0	nan
2	Winterthur	0	nan
3	FC Zurich	0	nan
4	Grasshopper	0	nan
5	Lausanne	0	nan
6	Lugano	0	nan
7	Luzern	0	nan
8	Servette	0	nan
9	St Gallen	0	nan
10	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0	nan
11	Young Boys	0	nan
12	Yverdon Sport	0	nan

Neman

All competitions

Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Neman
Friday, July 7 at 4.30pm in Belarusian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Neman in this match.

Result
Vaduz	Draw	Neman
35.84% ( 0.24)	24.85% ( -0.04)	39.3% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

0.21)

45.05% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

0.2)

67.4% (

-0.21)

Vaduz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.23)

24.62% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

0.32)

59.13% (

-0.33)

Neman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.01)

22.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-0.01)

56.5% (

Score Analysis

Vaduz 35.84%

Neman 39.3%

Draw 24.85%

Vaduz	Draw	Neman
2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 35.84%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.3%