MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:55:58| >> :120:44900:44900:
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion

Vaduz
1 - 2
Dnipro-1

Rastoder (30')
Fosso (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hamache (25'), Dovbyk (90+1')
Babenko (63'), Gromov (71'), Rubchynskyi (78'), Walef (90+4'), Tanchyk (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Vaduz and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dnipro-1 2-2 Vaduz
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys242.40Nsame
2Grasshopper191.90Kawabe
3St Gallen191.90Gortler
4Sion171.70Stojilkovic
5Lugano161.60Celar
6Basel151.67Burger
7Luzern141.56Meyer
8Servette121.20Cognat
9Winterthur70.70Buess
10FC Zurich70.70Okita
Last Game: Dnipro-1 3-0 Luhansk
Sunday, October 9 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: Vaduz 0-2 Dnipro-1

Although Vaduz put up a much better performance than expected in the previous fixture, we would expect Dnipro to win this game, as they now know what they are coming up against and their league form shows they can improve their level of performance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.

Result
VaduzDrawDnipro-1
33.2% (0.18 0.18) 26.9% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 39.9% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.85% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73% (-0.15 -0.15)54.28% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33% (-0.124 -0.12)75.67% (0.129 0.13)
Vaduz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33% (0.046000000000006 0.05)30.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (0.052 0.05)66.93% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.191 -0.19)26.65% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)61.89% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Vaduz 33.2%
    Dnipro-1 39.9%
    Draw 26.89%
VaduzDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 10.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.9%

How you voted: Vaduz vs Dnipro-1

Vaduz
13.8%
Draw
17.2%
Dnipro-1
69.0%
29
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
Group E
Dnipro-1
2-2
Vaduz
Dovbyk (5'), Pikhalyonok (78')
Fehr (26'), Gasser (47')
rhs 2.0
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