MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:39:37| >> :120:36719:36719:
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Rheinpark Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Vaduz
1 - 2
AZ

Hasler (77')
Iodice (50'), Ulrich (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Milos (50'), van Brederode (75')
Sugawara (52'), Bazoer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Vaduz and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vaduz 1-2 Dnipro-1
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys292.23Nsame
2Grasshopper251.92Kawabe
3St Gallen241.85Akolo
4Luzern201.67Meyer
5Sion201.54Stojilkovic
6Lugano191.46Celar
7Basel181.50Burger
8Servette161.23Fofana
9Winterthur100.77Buess
10FC Zurich80.62Dzemaili

We said: Vaduz 1-4 AZ Alkmaar

AZ boast a vastly superior squad on paper and will fancy themselves to translate that into something more meaningful. We are tipping the away side to ease past the challenge of the hosts without breaking too much sweat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vaduz had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Vaduz win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VaduzDrawAZ Alkmaar
21.56% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 22.23% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 56.22% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.65% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (-0.109 -0.11)42.33% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (-0.11 -0.11)64.74% (0.113 0.11)
Vaduz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)33.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)70.07% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.1% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)14.9% (0.06 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.74% (-0.11 -0.11)43.27% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Vaduz 21.56%
    AZ Alkmaar 56.22%
    Draw 22.23%
VaduzDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 2.99% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.56%
1-1 @ 10.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.23%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.22%

How you voted: Vaduz vs AZ

Vaduz
18.2%
Draw
7.8%
AZ Alkmaar
74.0%
77
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 5.45pm
Group E
AZ
4-1
Vaduz
Barasi (19'), Beukema (81'), Sugawara (90+2'), De Wit (90+5')
Goelzer (22')
Isik (29')
rhs 2.0
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