MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:34:34| >> :600:1011417:1011417:
Villarreal logo
Europa Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
2 - 2
Be'er Sheva

Chukwueze (57'), Danjuma (70')
Baena (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hemed (48' pen.), Yehezkel (79')
Vitor (54'), Yehezkel (63'), Lopes (73'), Elias (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Hapoel Be'er Sheva, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Be'er Sheva 1-1 Lech Poznan
Thursday, October 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Villarreal 3-1 Hapoel Be'er Sheva

With Villarreal already through to the knockout rounds as group winners, the pressure is on Hapoel Be'er Sheva as they seek to claim their first three points in Group C and keep their hopes of progression alive. The Yellow Submarine were tested by their Israeli counterparts in the reverse fixture but they managed to hold on for a victory, and we can see the Spanish side coming away with maximum points once again on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
57.47% (-0.148 -0.15) 25.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 17.06% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 40.15% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44% (0.071000000000005 0.07)60.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33% (0.053000000000001 0.05)80.66% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.81% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)21.19% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)54.07% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.95% (0.207 0.21)49.05% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.01% (0.145 0.15)83.99% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 57.46%
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 17.06%
    Draw 25.46%
VillarrealDrawHapoel Be'er Sheva
1-0 @ 16.12% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 12.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 57.46%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.09% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Be'er Sheva

Villarreal
92.5%
Draw
5.0%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.5%
80
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
Group C
Be'er Sheva
1-2
Villarreal
Hatuel (63')
Seljmani (24')
Luis Morales (28' pen.), Baena (67')
rhs 2.0
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