Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax0 - 0Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, February 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, February 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Ajax 1-1 Union Berlin
With both clubs in a period of strong form, this can only be a highly-competitive contest. There will be a desire to remain in the tie ahead of the second leg in Germany, and we would not be surprised to see a share of the spoils play out in Amsterdam. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.29%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Union Berlin |
71.84% ( -0.23) | 16.16% ( 0.11) | 12% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.91% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
