Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 0-4 Bayern
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Mainz 05
The Union Berlin faithful will be hoping this fairytale lasts forever, and they will be pinching themselves if they can return to the top of the tree with a win here. Another heavy defeat to a side near the top in midweek shows where Mainz are currently at, and they may just be outplayed here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
56.95% ( -0.78) | 23.61% ( 0.38) | 19.44% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
