MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:54:28| >> :600:205531:205531:
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Qarabag

Ljubljana
0 - 2
Qarabag


Doffo (23'), Elsnik (45+2'), Sualehe (55'), Seslar (59')
Sualehe (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Medina (32'), Andrade (44')
Romao (29'), Gugeshashvili (72+72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between NK Olimpija Ljubljana and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aluminij 4-5 Ljubljana
Saturday, August 19 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Qarabag
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ljubljana133.25Fadida
2Celje112.75Matko
3Maribor92.25Jakupovic
4Aluminij82.00Brest
5Koper71.75NKada
6Domzale61.50Cerne
7NS Mura51.25Shabanhaxhaj
8Bravo41.00Poplatnik
9Radomlje20.50Korun
10Rogaska20.50Pavlovic

We said: NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Qarabag FK

Given that the first leg will likely be a tense and cagey encounter, we expect Olimpija and Qarabag to play out a low-scoring stalemate on Thursday, with both teams approaching the contest with caution. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawQarabag FK
31.59% (-0.026 -0.03) 25.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 43.21% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.83% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)47.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.81% (0.0010000000000048 0)
NK Olimpija Ljubljana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)28.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)64.17% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)55.31% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    NK Olimpija Ljubljana 31.59%
    Qarabag FK 43.21%
    Draw 25.19%
NK Olimpija LjubljanaDrawQarabag FK
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.59%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.62% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.86%
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.21%

How you voted: Ljubljana vs Qarabag

NK Olimpija Ljubljana
35.1%
Draw
35.1%
Qarabag FK
29.8%
57
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2018 6pm
First Qualifying Round
Qarabag
0-0
Ljubljana
Medvedev (87'), Rzezniczak (90')
Boateng (5'), Putincanin (85'), Gajic (86'), Crnic (90')
Gajic (90')
Jul 11, 2018 7pm
First Qualifying Round
Ljubljana
0-1
Qarabag

Putincanin (24')
Abass (85')
Guerrier (79')
Garayev (31'), Guerrier (73'), Guseynov (85')
Garayev (90')
rhs 2.0
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