MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 06:13:26| >> :120:17620:17620:
Champions League header

Champions League
Qarabag
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Lincoln Red Imps

Qarabag
4 - 0
Lincoln

Zoubir (7'), Mustafazada (45+1'), Xhixha (49'), Jankovic (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sergeant (44'), Gomez (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Qarabag FK and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 11 at 4.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lincoln Red Imps

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 11 at 4.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Qarabag FK 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps (Qarabag win 4-1 on aggregate)

 Despite struggling to break down an obdurate Lincoln side last week, Qarabag possess plenty of attacking talent and have options that can change a game from off the bench. With their lead still a slim one, the hosts will still be motivated to go for goals, before stepping off the gas once the job is all but done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln Red Imps win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawLincoln Red Imps
37.46% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 23.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.62% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 61.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)40.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.19% (0.012 0.01)62.81% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)21.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.034000000000006 0.03)54.8% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.1% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)53.92% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 37.46%
    Lincoln Red Imps 38.62%
    Draw 23.91%
Qarabag FKDrawLincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 8.46% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.62%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Lincoln

Qarabag FK
81.6%
Draw
12.2%
Lincoln Red Imps
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 4.30pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lincoln
1-2
Qarabag
Gomez (25')
Yahaya (45+4'), Casciaro (72'), Lopes (78')
Xhixha (58'), Benzia (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!