MX23RW : Friday, November 8 11:58:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Rakow

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Rakow

Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
49.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)21.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.45% (0.058 0.06)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.78% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 49.3%
    Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%
    Draw 25.56%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Rakow

Lech Poznan
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Rakow Czestochowa
55.6%
9
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan14101325101531
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1410132619731
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow149321741330
4KS CracoviaCracovia1492330201029
5Legia WarsawLegia1474326141225
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin147162119222
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice145541614220
8Widzew Lodz145451819-119
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik145361817118
10Zaglebie Lubin145361419-518
11Motor Lublin145361925-618
12Katowice144462019116
13Korona Kielce144371222-1015
14Radomiak Radom134181821-313
15Stal Mielec143381219-712
16Puszcza Niepolomice142571323-1011
17Lechia GdanskGdansk142481728-1110
18Slask Wroclaw131661121-109


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