MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 01:12:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
INEA stadion
Rakow

Lech Poznan
4 - 1
Rakow

Gurgul (7'), Marchwinski (25'), Velde (72'), Ba Loua (90+3')
Karlstrom (56')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sorescu (2')
Lederman (56'), Kovacevic (88')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, September 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-5 Rakow
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Rakow Czestochowa win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
49.31% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 25.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 25.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)52.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.43% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)21.43% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)54.45% (0.058 0.06)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)72.78% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 49.3%
    Rakow Czestochowa 25.13%
    Draw 25.56%
Lech PoznanDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 49.3%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.13%

How you voted: Lech Poznan vs Rakow

Lech Poznan
33.3%
Draw
11.1%
Rakow Czestochowa
55.6%
9
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan18122433141938
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow18106225111436
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1810533225735
4Legia WarsawLegia1895436231332
5KS CracoviaCracovia189453628831
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik189362620630
7Motor Lublin188462730-328
8Pogon SzczecinSzczecin188372521427
9Widzew Lodz187472425-125
10Katowice186572725223
11Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice185761818022
12Radomiak Radom1862102326-320
13Stal Mielec185491924-519
14Zaglebie Lubin185491627-1119
15Puszcza Niepolomice184681726-918
16Korona Kielce184681527-1218
17Lechia GdanskGdansk1835101833-1514
18Slask Wroclaw1817101428-1410


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