Red Star

2 - 1

Gent

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Star Belgrade win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gent had a probability of 22.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Star Belgrade win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Gent win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Star Belgrade would win this match.