MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:04:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
Lille

Rennes
2 - 2
Lille

Assignon (74'), Salah (89')
Matic (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Yoro (33'), Diakite (62')
Yazici (30'), Diakite (51'), David (86'), Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Rennes
Saturday, September 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-1 Lille

Given that both sides have made a strong start to the 2023-24 campaign, we can see Rennes and Lille serving up an intriguing contest at Roazhon Park. Les Rennais have already scored seven goals in two home games this term, so we expect the hosts to edge out the visitors in what promises to be a closely-fought battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RennesDrawLille
41.56% (0.914 0.91) 25.01% (0.113 0.11) 33.43% (-1.028 -1.03)
Both teams to score 57.12% (-0.66399999999999 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.745 -0.74)46.23% (0.745 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.708 -0.71)68.52% (0.706 0.71)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (0.121 0.12)22.2% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (0.181 0.18)55.61% (-0.182 -0.18)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.97 -0.97)26.58% (0.969 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-1.301 -1.3)61.8% (1.301 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 41.56%
    Lille 33.43%
    Draw 25%
RennesDrawLille
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.308 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.255 0.26)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 7.82% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Rennes vs Lille

Rennes
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Lille
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rennes
1-3
Lille
Gouiri (1')
Zhegrova (59'), Cabella (85'), Gomes (90+4')
Nov 6, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 14
Lille
1-1
Rennes
Fonte (16')
Bourigeaud (58' pen.)
May 21, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Lille
2-2
Rennes
Weah (11', 88')
Andre (25'), Sanches (57')
Bourigeaud (41'), Guirassy (90+2')
Truffert (43'), Omari (54')
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Rennes
1-2
Lille
Bourigeaud (85')
Martin (65'), Genesio (81'), Genesio (82'), Meling (90+1')
Xeka (31'), Sanches (45')
Mandava (89')
Jan 24, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 21
Rennes
0-1
Lille

N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (22'), Grenier (40')
David (16')
Celik (34'), Andre (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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