Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bosnia H'vina
3 - 0
Iceland

Krunic (14', 40'), Dedic (63')
Tahirovic (45+4'), Dedic (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnar Haraldsson (17'), Palsson (19'), Berg Gudmundsson (45+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bosnia-Herzegovina	0	0	0
2	Montenegro	0	0	0
3	Finland	0	0	0
4	Romania	0	0	0

Iceland

All competitions

Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, January 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2-0 Iceland

Led by the evergreen Edin Dzeko, we expect Bosnia-Herzegovina to kick-start the Faruk Hadzibegic era with a comfortable home victory over Iceland, whose struggles at both ends of the pitch look set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bosnia-Herzegovina win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Iceland
50.71% ( -0.01)	28.14% ( -0)	21.15% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 39.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.39% (

0.01)

64.61% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.38% (

0.01)

83.62% (

-0.01)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.08%

25.92% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.08% (

-0)

60.92% (

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.38% (

0.03)

46.62% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.8% (

0.02)

82.2% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 50.7%

Iceland 21.15%

Draw 28.13%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Iceland
1-0 @ 16.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.78% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.85% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 21.15%