World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2022 at 10am UK
Millennium Stadium
Wales0 - 2Iran
The Match
Match Report
Wales' hopes of a World Cup 2022 knockout spot suffer a major blow as Iran score two late goals to beat the 10-man Dragons 2-0 in Group B.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup clash between Wales and Iran, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Wales could line up for Friday's World Cup 2022 Group B clash with Iran.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup
Last Game: USA 1-1 Wales
Monday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup
Monday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Wales | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | USA | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Iran | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Wales had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Iran |
29.64% ( 0.73) | 27.11% ( -0.1) | 43.25% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 48.89% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
