World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
USA1 - 1Wales
The Match
Match Report
Gareth Bale rescues a point for Wales in a 1-1 draw with the USA in their World Cup 2022 Group B opener at the Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup clash between USA and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Wales could line up for their World Cup opener against USA at the Ahmed bin Ali Stadium on Monday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 USA
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Wales |
58.33% ( 14.47) | 23.61% ( -1.86) | 18.05% ( -12.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( -7.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -3.62) | 52.8% ( 3.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( -3.18) | 74.42% ( 3.18) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( 4.5) | 17.86% ( -4.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.37% ( 7.24) | 48.62% ( -7.24) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.8% ( -13.37) | 43.19% ( 13.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.54% ( -13.55) | 79.45% ( 13.55) |
| Score Analysis |
USA 58.32%
Wales 18.05%
Draw 23.61%
| USA | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 3.29) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 3.96)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.56)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 2.84)3-1 @ 5.52% ( 1)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 1.43)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.56)Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.32% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.93) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 1.04)2-2 @ 4.03% ( -1.44)Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -1.59) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( -2.63)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -2.16)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -1.64)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -1.08)Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.05% |
How you voted: USA vs Wales
USA
45.7%Draw
25.6%Wales
28.7%2263
Form Guide
Build-up
USA vs. Wales: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Sports Mole compares both squads from USA and Wales ahead of the World Cup Group B showdown between the two sides in Qatar.
2 years ago
World Cup 2022: USA vs. Wales head-to-head record
Ahead of their World Cup opener, Sports Mole looks back at the previous meetings between Group B opponents USA and Wales.
2 years ago
Joe Allen ruled out of Wales' World Cup opener with USA
Wales manager Robert Page confirms that Joe Allen will miss Monday's World Cup 2022 Group B opener with the USA due to a hamstring injury.
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How Wales could line up against USA
Sports Mole looks at how Wales could line up for their World Cup opener against USA at the Ahmed bin Ali Stadium on Monday.
2 years ago
How USA could line up against Wales
Sports Mole looks at how USA could line up for Monday's World Cup opener against Wales at the Ahmed bin Ali Stadium.
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