MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:21:31| >> :60:773:773:
Armenia national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Vazgen Sargsyan anvan Hanrapetakan Marzadasht
Cyprus national football team

Armenia
2 - 2
Cyprus

Ranos (51', 59')
Iwu (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karo (43'), Christofi (83')
Kakoullis (41'), Spoljaric (45+1'), Christofi (84'), Panagi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Armenia and Cyprus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Armenia 1-2 Turkey
Saturday, March 25 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 3-0 Cyprus
Saturday, March 25 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland133
2Spain133
3Georgia000
4Cyprus1-30
5Norway1-30

We said: Armenia 1-1 Cyprus

Despite the disappointing defeat against Scotland last time out, Cyprus are showing signs of progression under the helm of Ketsbaia, and it would not be a surprise if the manager oversees a positive result on Tuesday, given the recent victory against Israel. Armenia are the favourites on paper, but they have been in poor form of late, still without a win since early June, and so we expect the two nations to play out a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawCyprus
42.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 26.08% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 31.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.45% (0.0039999999999978 0)51.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.0020000000000095 0)23.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Cyprus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.32% (0.0039999999999907 0)30.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 42.76%
    Cyprus 31.16%
    Draw 26.08%
ArmeniaDrawCyprus
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 8.87%
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.76%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 7.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.12%
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 31.16%

How you voted: Armenia vs Cyprus

Armenia
46.9%
Draw
28.1%
Cyprus
25.0%
32
rhs 2.0
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