International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
St Lucia1 - 0San Marino
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Lucia 1-1 San Marino
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: St Lucia 1-1 San Marino
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Thursday, November 17 at 10pm in International Friendlies
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Saint Lucia 1-1 San Marino
Given the similarity in quality between the two sides, we would not be surprised to see a repeat of Friday's result at the weekend. San Marino do have the ability to hurt their opponents but will find it tough ending an 18-year wait for a win, and we see them returning home with another draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 85.89%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 4.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 4-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | San Marino |
85.89% ( 31.97) | 9.17% ( -16.09) | 4.93% ( -15.89) |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( 6.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
