Portugal

3 - 0

Bosnia H'vina

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.