Still acclimatising to Nagelsmann's methods, Germany's hopes of bouncing straight back from their lowly loss to Turkey will not exactly be high at the Ernst-Happel-Stadion, especially with Austria having two more days of rest to work with. Rangnick's troops have already laid down plenty of markers en route to Euro 2024, and we have faith in Das Team to hold the tournament hosts to a score draw, bringing Die Mannschaft's painful year to an unspectacular end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Austria had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Austria win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Austria	Draw	Germany
29.06% ( 0.02)	23.43% ( 0.29)	47.5% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 60.47% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.11% (

-1.35)

40.89% (

1.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.72% (

-1.39)

63.28% (

1.39)

Austria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.26% (

-0.67)

26.73% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38% (

-0.88)

62% (

0.89)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.54% (

-0.63)

17.46% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.07% (

-1.11)

47.93% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Austria 29.06%

Germany 47.5%

Draw 23.43%

Austria	Draw	Germany
2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 29.06%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.92% Total : 47.5%