MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:47:30| >> :600:22726151:22726151:
Sweden national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2021 at 5pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Poland national football team

Sweden
3 - 2
Poland

Forsberg (2', 59'), Claesson (90+4')
Danielsson (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lewandowski (61', 84')
Krychowiak (74'), Glik (83')

The Match

Match Report

Robert Lewandowski's second-half brace had got Poland back on level terms.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's European Championship clash between Sweden and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Poland could line up for Wednesday's Group E clash with Sweden.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Poland had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawPoland
42.74%24.59%32.66%
Both teams to score 58.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43%44.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07%66.93%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06%20.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33%53.67%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.75%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.64%61.35%
Score Analysis
    Sweden 42.74%
    Poland 32.66%
    Draw 24.59%
SwedenDrawPoland
2-1 @ 8.99%
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 4.68%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.59%
1-2 @ 7.69%
0-1 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 32.66%

How you voted: Sweden vs Poland

Sweden
46.8%
Draw
22.9%
Poland
30.3%
1264
rhs 2.0
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