Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunston win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Birtley Town had a probability of 12.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunston win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-3 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Birtley Town win it was 2-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunston would win this match.