Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
31.9% ( 0.02) | 26.04% ( 0) | 42.06% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.87% ( 0) | 51.13% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.02% ( 0) | 72.98% ( -0) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.03% ( 0.01) | 29.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.02) | 66.08% ( -0.01) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.01) | 24.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.01) | 58.37% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |