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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Oxford United

Bolton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Charles (73')
Williams (20'), Santos (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
O'Donkor (29'), Brannagan (31'), McGuane (35'), Rodriguez (85'), Seddon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Oxford United

Bolton, with their squad depth, should be able to get past an Oxford team low on confidence. The visitors will not be pushovers, though, and will make Wanderers work hard for their three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
53.77% (0.161 0.16) 24.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 21.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.066000000000003 0.07)19.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.109 0.11)51.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.119 -0.12)38.85% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.113 -0.11)75.58% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.76%
    Oxford United 21.66%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Bolton vs Oxford Utd

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Bolton
Hemmings (42'), Maguire (75')
McAleny (77')
Morais (4'), Beevers (21'), Dunkley (60' og.), Vela (94')
Beevers (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham38228852302274
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
4Charlton AthleticCharlton381991049351466
5Stockport CountyStockport381811953351865
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Leyton Orient381851554381659
9Reading371611105246659
10Blackpool381315105750754
11Barnsley38158155254-253
12Lincoln CityLincoln381311145345850
13Stevenage381310153539-449
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Peterborough UnitedPeterborough37129165660-445
16Exeter CityExeter37129164051-1145
17Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
18Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
19Northampton TownNorthampton381012163756-1942
20Bristol Rovers38126203961-2242
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3889214071-3133
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3879223662-2630
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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