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League One
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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
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Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds


Dobbin (52'), Bird (64')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Derby
Sunday, November 27 at 3.15pm in FA Cup

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

 Derby County look to be improving under Paul Warne and they do possess quality, but we see the visitors being slightly too strong and extending their dominant run of form with a narrow away win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.49% (0.674 0.67) 25.25% (-0.15 -0.15) 34.27% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.57700000000001 0.58)47.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.534 0.53)69.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.596 0.6)23.11% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.862 -0.86)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.49%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%
    Draw 25.25%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Weds

Derby County
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Sheff Weds
1-0
Derby
Paterson (61')

Kazim-Richards (90+2'), Jozwiak (90+3')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Sheff Weds
1-3
Derby
> Match Report
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
> Match Report
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Johnson (10')
Bogle (43'), Holmes (45')
Iorfa (57')
Reach (27'), Palmer (91'), Winnall (94')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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