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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
Trabzonspor

Karagumruk
0 - 2
Trabzonspor


Karamoh (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Djaniny (17' pen.), Omur (62')
Omur (25'), Ie (45')

Preview: Fatih Karagumruk vs. Trabzonspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fatih Karagumruk face a tough test on Sunday when they welcome Trabzonspor to the Ataturk Olympic Stadium, and the hosts will be looking to build upon an impressive 3-1 victory last time out.

Meanwhile, the visitors sit top of the pile in the Turkish Super Lig and they will be aiming to keep their unbeaten record intact.


Match preview

Abdullah Avci, now in charge of Trabzonspor, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Fatih Karagumruk head into the weekend in a fine run of form after suffering just one defeat in their last six games.

Although, before last weekend's meeting they had embarked on a three-game winless run, but that came to an end in style thanks to a 3-1 victory away to Kasimpasa.

It was an electric start for the visitors with all three goals coming in the opening 27 minutes, and they opened the scoring in the first minute of the game, much to Tomas Brecka's misfortune with the defender putting the ball into his own net.

Yann Karamoh also struck for Karagumruk before Aleksandar Pesic dispatched his spot kick, and despite pulling a goal back before the break, Kasimpasa could not prevent Francesco Farioli's side from claiming all three points.

Like their opponents, Fatih Karagumruk will put their own unbeaten record on the line on Sunday with the hosts yet to lose on home soil this term.

The side attempting to become the first team to win at the Ataturk Olympic Stadium this season are Trabzonspor, and their impressive start to the campaign has got their fans dreaming of a first Turkish Super Lig title since 1984.

They are yet to taste defeat this season, and have racked up 10 victories in their 13 league games, which has given Abdullah Avci's side a seven-point cushion at the top ahead of the weekend's fixtures.

Sunday's visitors have swept aside all challengers in recent weeks, winning their last six matches, which included a 3-0 thrashing of Gaziantep last time out.

On that occasion, the three points were wrapped up before the interval, with Abdulkadir Omur, Djaniny and Andreas Cornelius all getting on the scoresheet.

Avci's men have found the net with ease this season, scoring 27 goals in their 13 league encounters - the highest tally in the Turkish Super Lig.

Fatih Karagumruk Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W

Trabzonspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad and Lucas Biglia were both sent off in stoppage time last week, so they will be suspended for the home side.

The hosts are without Ervin Zukanovic, who is also suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards, although there is positive news with Jimmy Durmaz available after serving a one-match ban.

Fabio Borini, Medhi Benatia and Burak Bekaroglu all missed last weekend's encounter due to injury, and the trio are set to be absent on Sunday.

Trabzonspor are without Erce Kardesler and Bengali-Fode Koita, who are both absent due to hamstring injuries.

Meanwhile, knee problems ensure that the duo of Huseyin Turkmen and Anastasios Bakasetas will miss Sunday's encounter.

Ugurcan Cakir served his one-match suspension last weekend, and the goalkeeper will come back into the starting lineup for the visitors.

Fatih Karagumruk possible starting lineup:
Viviano; Ahmetoglu, Luckassen, Baniya, Erkin; Durmaz, Tatli, Bertolacci; Mor, Karamoh, Pesic

Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Tokoz, Edgar le, Hugo, Trondsen; Siopis, Ozdemir, Omur; Djaniny, Nwakaeme, Cornelius


SM words green background

We say: Fatih Karagumruk 1-3 Trabzonspor

Despite their excellent home record, we think that Karagumruk will struggle on Sunday, when they face a side that are in imperious form, and we believe Trabzonspor have enough quality to claim their seventh consecutive victory.


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Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Trabzonspor

Fatih Karagumruk
9.1%
Draw
9.1%
Trabzonspor
81.8%
11
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