MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 11:37:31| >> :60:303:303:
Atletico Madrid logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Nya Ullevi
Juventus logo

Atletico
2 - 0
Juventus

Felix (48'), Correa (86' pen.)
Lino (43'), Serrano (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Atletico Madrid and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kitchee 1-6 Atletico
Wednesday, August 7 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Brest
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Juventus

It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect when two European powerhouses collide in a pre-season friendly, but Sunday's affair is likely to be a close game, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawJuventus
43.12% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 26.26% (0.133 0.13) 30.63% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.438 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (-0.554 -0.55)52.46% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (-0.479 -0.48)74.13% (0.482 0.48)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.283 -0.28)24.15% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.406 -0.41)58.47% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (-0.319 -0.32)31.52% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (-0.371 -0.37)67.91% (0.375 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 43.11%
    Juventus 30.63%
    Draw 26.25%
Atletico MadridDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 8.79% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.63%

How you voted: Atletico vs Juventus

Atletico Madrid
61.8%
Draw
20.6%
Juventus
17.6%
34
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 5pm
Club Friendlies
Juventus
0-4
Atletico
Morata (10', 43', 62'), Cunha (90+2')
Nov 26, 2019 8pm
Sep 18, 2019 8pm
Aug 10, 2019 5.06pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Atletico
2-1
Juventus
Mar 12, 2019 8pm
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