We said: Rapid Vienna 0-1 AC Milan
As so many of Milan's key attackers are yet to resume training with the Rossoneri, Fonseca's first match in charge should not be an all-action affair with goals aplenty, although they still have strong midfield and defensive foundations.
As a result, an injury-hit Rapid Vienna side may have trouble breaking through, and the visitors can strike once to get Fonseca off to a winning start.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.