Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
35.92% ( -0.16) | 28.06% ( -0.12) | 36.03% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 47.63% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.54% ( 0.44) | 58.47% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.95% ( 0.34) | 79.05% ( -0.34) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( 0.12) | 31.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.66% ( 0.14) | 67.34% ( -0.13) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.05% ( 0.4) | 30.96% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.75% ( 0.47) | 67.25% ( -0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.92% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.06% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |