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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan

Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

Only runaway champions Inter have scored more away goals than Milan's 20 this calendar year, but Torino are capable of frustrating them: a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome, as Toro do not lay out the red carpet for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
35.92% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.06% (-0.118 -0.12) 36.03% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.44 0.44)58.47% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.342 0.34)79.05% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.11800000000001 0.12)31.03% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.136 0.14)67.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.401 0.4)30.96% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.468 0.47)67.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.92%
    AC Milan 36.03%
    Draw 28.06%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
16.9%
Draw
27.7%
AC Milan
55.4%
166
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
0-0
AC Milan
Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')
Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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