Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 82.62%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
82.62% ( 0.83) | 11.12% ( -0.39) | 6.26% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.17% ( 0.18) | 25.83% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54% ( 0.24) | 45.99% ( -0.24) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.43% ( 0.16) | 4.57% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.33% ( 0.5) | 18.67% ( -0.5) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.2% ( -1.06) | 45.8% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( -0.84) | 81.57% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
3-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.22) 5-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.8% Total : 82.61% | 1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 11.12% | 1-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |