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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
0 - 0
AC Milan

FT

Musah (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Juventus
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Juventus 1-0 AC Milan

Across the last six Serie A games between Juventus and Milan, only once have both sides scored. Another tight contest is on the cards for Saturday, but as the visitors must field a makeshift defence, their hosts can capitalise and close the gap to second place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
47.08% (0.325 0.33) 24.92% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 28% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 54.62% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.75% (0.171 0.17)48.25% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.6% (0.156 0.16)70.4% (-0.158 -0.16)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.20999999999999 0.21)20.54% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.331 0.33)53.05% (-0.334 -0.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)31.26% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)67.61% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 47.07%
    AC Milan 28%
    Draw 24.92%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.24% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 11.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
58.3%
Draw
23.1%
AC Milan
18.6%
156
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
0-1
Juventus

Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
(Aggregate 2-2 | Juventus win 0-0 on penalties)
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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