Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan5 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 3-3 Genoa
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, May 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, May 5 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 2-1 Cagliari
Although Milan are clearly running out of steam as the season nears its end and are set to make several changes, Cagliari do not travel well and have a horrendous record in this fixture. Therefore, the hosts should win their first match for over a month. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
61.01% ( -0.09) | 20.29% ( 0.04) | 18.69% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
