Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 82.79%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Rot-Weiss Erfurt had a probability of 6.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-3 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.02%), while for a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win it was 2-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Rot-Weiss Erfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
6.16% ( -0.01)	11.05% ( -0.01)	82.79% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.1% (

-0.04)

25.89% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.92% (

-0.05)

46.07% (

0.04)

Rot-Weiss Erfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.85% (

-0.07)

46.14% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.16% (

-0.06)

81.83% (

0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.44% (

-0.01)

4.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.38% (

-0.02)

18.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 6.16%

Borussia Dortmund 82.78%

Draw 11.05%

Rot-Weiss Erfurt	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 6.16%	1-1 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.05%	0-3 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.99% ( -0) 0-4 @ 7.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 6.17% ( -0) 0-5 @ 4.93% ( 0) 1-5 @ 3.81% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 82.78%