Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arezzo win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arezzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.