Telford

2 - 3

Tamworth

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.