CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 4, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Canada4 - 2Cuba
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Canada
Sunday, July 2 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Sunday, July 2 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Canada | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Cuba | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Cuba 1-4 Guadeloupe
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Sunday, July 2 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Canada | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Cuba | 2 | -4 | 0 |
We said: Canada 2-0 Cuba
The conditions may favour the Cubans on Tuesday, but this team look disorganised and without much conviction or creativity when in possession. Canada have been underwhelming to this point of the tournament but playing on of the weaker sides in this competition should give them plenty of scoring opportunities, and at some point, we have to think they will find a breakthrough. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 78.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 3-0 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Cuba |
78.01% ( 0.08) | 15.06% ( 0.07) | 6.93% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 38.87% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.96) | 43.71% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.94) | 66.1% ( 0.94) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.74% ( -0.22) | 9.26% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.7% ( -0.51) | 31.3% ( 0.5) |
| Cuba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.84% ( -1.07) | 57.15% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 10.87% ( -0.61) | 89.13% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
Canada 78%
Cuba 6.93%
Draw 15.06%
| Canada | Draw | Cuba |
| 2-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.15)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 78% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.06% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.93% |
How you voted: Canada vs Cuba
Canada
78.3%Draw
13.0%Cuba
8.7%46
Head to Head
