We said: USA 3-0 Trinidad and Tobago
The Soca Warriors' are still in with a fighting chance to advance but given the depth of this US squad and being able to play a potentially weaker Group D opponent in the quarter-finals, we believe the Yanks will be ruthless in front of goal, knowing that the Reggae Boyz might score a lopsided victory against the minnows of this competition, Saint Kitts and Nevis.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 78.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 6.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.11%) and 3-0 (12.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.