Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 44.32%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 25.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.38%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.23%), while for a Ionikos win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Panathinaikos in this match.