MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 10:00:01| >> :60:191:191:
Australia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
ANZ Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Australia
2 - 0
New Zealand

Souttar (13'), Irvine (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 1-0 Australia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 1-1 Congo DR
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Australia 2-1 New Zealand

 Regardless of the lineups that are selected, this should prove to be a hard-fought contest, one which will be engaging given their rivalry. For us, though, Australia are justified favourites, and Arnold's could edge this contest to secure bragging rights until their next clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Australia had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
32.28% (0.216 0.22) 29.11% (-0.25 -0.25) 38.61% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.23% (0.714 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55% (0.848 0.85)62.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.93% (0.616 0.62)82.06% (-0.61699999999999 -0.62)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.619 0.62)35.56% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.633 0.63)72.33% (-0.634 -0.63)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.45400000000001 0.45)31.36% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.522 0.52)67.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Australia 32.28%
    New Zealand 38.61%
    Draw 29.1%
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 12.93% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Australia vs New Zealand

Australia
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
New Zealand
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 4am
International Friendly
New Zealand
0-2
Australia
Duke (54'), Cummings (80' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 22, 2022 11am
International Friendly
Australia
1-0
New Zealand
Mabil (32')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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