MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 23:48:11| >> :60:40:40:
Australia national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
ANZ Stadium
New Zealand national football team

Australia
2 - 0
New Zealand

Souttar (13'), Irvine (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Australia and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 1-0 Australia
Friday, October 13 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: New Zealand 1-1 Congo DR
Friday, October 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Australia 2-1 New Zealand

Regardless of the lineups that are selected, this should prove to be a hard-fought contest, one which will be engaging given their rivalry. For us, though, Australia are justified favourites, and Arnold's could edge this contest to secure bragging rights until their next clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Australia had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
32.28% (0.216 0.22) 29.11% (-0.25 -0.25) 38.61% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.23% (0.714 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.55% (0.848 0.85)62.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.93% (0.616 0.62)82.06% (-0.61699999999999 -0.62)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.44% (0.619 0.62)35.56% (-0.61799999999999 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.67% (0.633 0.63)72.33% (-0.634 -0.63)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.64% (0.45400000000001 0.45)31.36% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.27% (0.522 0.52)67.73% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Australia 32.28%
    New Zealand 38.61%
    Draw 29.1%
AustraliaDrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.099 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.96% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.15% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 29.1%
0-1 @ 12.93% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3% (0.067 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Australia vs New Zealand

Australia
75.0%
Draw
15.9%
New Zealand
9.1%
44
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 4am
International Friendly
New Zealand
0-2
Australia
Duke (54'), Cummings (80' pen.)
Sep 22, 2022 11am
International Friendly
Australia
1-0
New Zealand
Mabil (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
20-19
Bears
FT
Raiders
19-34
Dolphins
FT
Colts
28-27
Jets
FT
Jags
6-52
Lions
FT
Rams
28-22
Patriots
FT
Browns
14-35
Saints
FT
Ravens
16-18
Steelers
FT
Vikings
23-13
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!