We said: New Zealand 1-2 Congo DR
Even without several key men, Congo DR have plenty of quality throughout their squad, and on the back of a dominant campaign with World Cup Qualifying to build towards, we fancy them to come out on top against the All Whites in Spain.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.