MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 17:07:34| >> :60:4:4:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 10, 2023 at 3am UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Australia national football team

Mexico
2 - 2
Australia

Jimenez (69' pen.), Huerta (83')
Jimenez (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Souttar (16'), Boyle (63' pen.)
Duke (45+1'), Metcalfe (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Mexico and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Panama
Monday, July 17 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Australia
Thursday, June 15 at 1pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 2-0 Australia

Although Australia have made some notable improvements under the guidance of Graham Arnold, we expect to Socceroos to fall short against Mexico, who boast a markedly stronger squad in every department. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Australia had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for an Australia win it was 0-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawAustralia
69.59% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03) 19.22% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 11.19% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.1% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)48.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)70.51% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)12.75% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.4% (0.020000000000003 0.02)50.6% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.93% (0.012 0.01)85.07% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 69.59%
    Australia 11.19%
    Draw 19.22%
MexicoDrawAustralia
2-0 @ 13.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 69.59%
1-1 @ 9.05% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 19.22%
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Mexico vs Australia

Mexico
84.5%
Draw
8.6%
Australia
6.9%
58
rhs 2.0
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