Bahrain performed well against Canada, but Serbia should be a much tougher challenge, and we see Stojkovic and co establishing their dominance ahead of their bid to go deep into the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Bahrain	Draw	Serbia
30.56% ( -0.21)	25.49% ( 0.06)	43.95% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.69% (

-0.33)

49.31% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.64% (

-0.3)

71.36% (

0.31)

Bahrain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0.31)

29.96% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0.38)

66.08% (

0.38)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-0.07)

22.38% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.11% (

-0.11)

55.89% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bahrain 30.56%

Serbia 43.94%

Draw 25.48%

Bahrain	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.94%