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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Serbia national football team

Sweden
0 - 1
Serbia


Svanberg (34'), Olsson (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jovic (45+3')
Gudelj (28'), Duricic (36'), Pavlovic (60'), Racic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

Serbia

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Slovenia vs. Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Sweden 2-2 Serbia

 As Norway host Slovenia and could feasibly pull clear at the top of Group 4, both sides will be targeting victory, and that could make for a more open game than expected. With both Dusan Vlahovic and Zlatan Ibrahimovic missing from the stage, others will have the chance to shine, and Serbia still have enough firepower to take at least a point from perhaps their toughest fixture on paper. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawSerbia
45.88% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 24.72% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 29.4% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.25% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (-0.119 -0.12)46.54% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.111 -0.11)68.81% (0.11 0.11)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.64% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)20.36% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.24% (-0.123 -0.12)52.76% (0.121 0.12)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)29.37% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)65.35% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 45.88%
    Serbia 29.4%
    Draw 24.71%
SwedenDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 45.88%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.4%

How you voted: Sweden vs Serbia

Sweden
53.4%
Draw
21.8%
Serbia
24.7%
174
rhs 2.0
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