We said: Slovenia 0-2 Serbia
Slovenia showed their defensive resilience to keep out Norway on Thursday, but they may struggle to keep the likes of Mitrovic, Milinkovic-Savic and Tadic quiet in the final third on Sunday.
The visitors were clinical in their last encounter against the hosts and they should have no problems in securing maximum points again in Ljubljana.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.