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Guinea-Bissau national football team
International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 12pm UK
TBC
Gambia national football team

Guinea-Bissau
0 - 0
Gambia

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Guinea-Bissau and Gambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 1-3 Gabon
Thursday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Guinea-BissauDrawGambia
30.48% (-2.201 -2.2) 28.83% (3.163 3.16) 40.68% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Both teams to score 44.44% (-10.204 -10.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.06% (-12.597 -12.6)61.93% (12.593 12.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (-10.299 -10.3)81.69% (10.297 10.3)
Guinea-Bissau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.38% (-8.06 -8.06)36.62% (8.056 8.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59% (-9.056 -9.06)73.4% (9.052 9.05)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.11% (-6.374 -6.37)29.88% (6.371 6.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (-8.434 -8.43)65.97% (8.431 8.43)
Score Analysis
    Guinea-Bissau 30.48%
    Gambia 40.67%
    Draw 28.82%
Guinea-BissauDrawGambia
1-0 @ 10.99% (2.576 2.58)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.963 -0.96)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.955 -0.96)
3-0 @ 1.85% (-0.353 -0.35)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.959 -0.96)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.48%
1-1 @ 13.27% (1.09 1.09)
0-0 @ 10.94% (4.226 4.23)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-1.497 -1.5)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.82%
0-1 @ 13.21% (3.489 3.49)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.798 -0.8)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.946 0.95)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-1.027 -1.03)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-1.045 -1.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.565 -0.57)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 40.67%

rhs 2.0
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