We said: Mali 2-1 Zambia
While the full-time results remains somewhat unimportant, Zambia will be looking to restore some pride after failing to secure a place in the African Nations Championship. However, they face a resurgent Mali side who picked up two wins from their first two AFCON qualifying games. We predict a thrilling game contest with Les Aigles claiming a slender victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 57.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.02%).