MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:19:01| >> :60:373:373:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
May 29, 2022 at 1.08am UK
AT&T Stadium
Nigeria national football team

Mexico
2 - 1
Nigeria

Gimenez (12'), Troost-Ekong (56' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dessers (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Suriname
Sunday, June 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Nigeria 2-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mauritius vs. Nigeria
Monday, June 13 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mexico 1-1 Nigeria

Still grieving from their World Cup qualifiers disappointment, Nigeria will be looking to restore some pride in this one. However, they face a rampant Mexico side who are unbeaten in eight straight games since last November. We anticipate an end-to-end affair with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts and settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.36%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawNigeria
46.36% (0.044999999999995 0.04) 28.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.6% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 43.85% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.67% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.32% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.23% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (0.025000000000006 0.03)26.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.27% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.72% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.68% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)40.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.05% (-0.026 -0.03)76.94% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 46.36%
    Nigeria 25.6%
    Draw 28.03%
MexicoDrawNigeria
1-0 @ 14.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 25.6%

How you voted: Mexico vs Nigeria

Mexico
53.8%
Draw
38.5%
Nigeria
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 3.30am
Mexico
4-0
Nigeria
Herrera (2', 52'), Funes Mori (4'), Dos Santos (78')
Rodriguez (13')

Obot (43')
Mar 6, 2014 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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