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World Cup
Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Argentina national football team

Ecuador
1 - 1
Argentina

Valencia (90+3')
Castillo (37'), Caicedo (49'), Franco (56'), Estrada (68'), Hincapie (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alvarez (24')
Mac Allister (18'), Scaloni (67'), Otamendi (68'), Tagliafico (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash with Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

Last Six:
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Ecuador
Monday, June 6 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Argentina

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Ecuador 0-2 Argentina

 Even without several key attackers, Argentina boast more quality than their hosts and should not run into many issues on their way to victory. La Tri have certainly been impressive in the qualifying campaign, but, with their World Cup place already secured, Alfaro's men may take their foot off the gas slightly. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Ecuador win it was 1-0 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawArgentina
22.29%24.33%53.38%
Both teams to score 50.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52%50.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6%72.4%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69%37.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91%74.09%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 22.29%
    Argentina 53.38%
    Draw 24.32%
EcuadorDrawArgentina
1-0 @ 6.93%
2-1 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22.29%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 7.03%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 11.73%
0-2 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-3 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 5.37%
2-3 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 2.24%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 53.38%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Argentina

Ecuador
13.4%
Draw
8.1%
Argentina
78.5%
186
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2021 2am
Argentina
3-0
Ecuador
De Paul (40'), Martinez (84'), Messi (90+3')
Otamendi (45+4'), Gonzalez (66')

Preciado (20'), Franco (31'), Estupinan (44')
Hincapie (90+2')
Oct 9, 2020 1.30am
CONMEBOL Standings
Argentina
1-0
Ecuador
Messi (13' pen.)
Paredes (21'), Otamendi (78')

Valencia (43')
Oct 13, 2019 3pm
Argentina
6-1
Ecuador
> Preview
Oct 11, 2017 12.30am
Ecuador
1-3
Argentina
Ibarra (1')
Cevallos (14'), Estrada (75')
Messi (13', 20', 62')
Acuna (51'), Biglia (61'), Mascherano (86')
> Match Report
Apr 1, 2015 1am
Argentina
2-1
Ecuador
Aguero (8'), Pastore (58')
Bolanos (24')
Bolanos (28'), Ayoví (58')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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