Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Mozambique and Guinea-Bissau.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mozambique 3-2 Benin
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mozambique vs. Angola
Friday, October 13 at 1am in International Friendlies
Friday, October 13 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 2-1 Sierra Leone
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.19%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 (12.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%).
| Result | ||
| Mozambique | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
36.53% ( -0.32) | 30.23% ( 0.32) | 33.24% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.44% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
