Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2023 at 4pm UK

Nigeria
0 - 1
Guinea-Bissau

FT(HT: 0-1)

Balde (29')
Encada (45'), Balde (52'), Balde (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Guinea-Bissau, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Nigeria
Thursday, November 17 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Gambia
Sunday, November 20 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

We said: Nigeria 3-1 Guinea-Bissau

Nigeria ended 2022 on a poor run of results but their first outing of 2023 provides a good chance to get themselves back on track. We expect the home side to see off the threat of their visitors in comfortable fashion at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 5.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.94%) and 3-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.02%), while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
77.39% ( -0.2)	16.64% ( -0.01)	5.97% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 29.61% (

1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21% (

0.76)

53.79% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74% (

0.64)

75.26% (

-0.63)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

0.16)

12.1% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.34)

37.64% (

-0.34)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.68% (

1.1)

66.32% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.44% (

0.44)

93.56% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 77.38%

Guinea-Bissau 5.97%

Draw 16.64%

Nigeria	Draw	Guinea-Bissau
2-0 @ 17.89% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 16.94% ( -0.4) 3-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 77.38%	0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.24) 1-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.64%	0-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.25% Total : 5.97%